Analyst consensus

The consensus below was collated by the company using contributions from 13 registered investment analysts and was published on 2 October 2026.

You can download company guidance for financial year 2026/27 using the link below.

Please note, as per our Pre-close Interim Results Aide-Memoire 2026-27 published on 18 September 2026, Sainsbury’s expects to report its Interim Results on a continuing operations basis, with Argos presented as a discontinued operation. Sainsbury’s expects to report on this basis until the completion of the Argos transaction, which is expected in February 2027.

All consensus metrics are on a continuing operations basis (i.e. excluding Argos' contributions). However, all the 25/26 figures are as reported at the time of the announcement (i.e. not restated for the Argos divestment).

Download consensus View company guidance

Underlying Operating Profit (£m)

25/26 Actual 1,025
26/27 Consensus 1,054
27/28 Consensus 1,115
28/29 Consensus 1,162

Free Cash Flow (£m)

25/26 Actual 574
26/27 Consensus 551
27/28 Consensus 589
28/29 Consensus 605

Ordinary Dividend Per Share (p)

25/26 Actual 13.7
26/27 Consensus 14.0
27/28 Consensus 14.8
28/29 Consensus 15.7

Underlying Diluted Earnings Per Share (p)

25/26 Actual 21.9
26/27 Consensus 23.4
27/28 Consensus 26.3
28/29 Consensus 28.7

Detailed consensus tables

Underlying Operating Profit (£m)

Total Consensus

Minimum

Maximum

H1 2026/27

520

506

530

2026/27

1,054

1,030

1,075

2027/28

1,115

1,077

1,164

2028/29

1,162

1,105

1,238

Free Cash Flow (£m)

Total Consensus

Minimum

Maximum

H1 2026/27

214

125

296

2026/27

551

376

675

2027/28

589

476

764

2028/29

605

504

754

Ordinary Dividend Per Share (p)

Total Consensus

Minimum

Maximum

H1 2026/27

4.1

4.1

4.3

2026/27

14.0

13.2

14.8

2027/28

14.8

13.9

16.5

2028/29

15.7

14.2

18.1

Underlying Diluted Earnings Per Share (p)

Total Consensus

Minimum

Maximum

H1 2026/27

11.0

10.4

11.5

2026/27

23.4

22.8

24.1

2027/28

26.3

25.1

27.4

2028/29

28.7

26.5

31.2

Where Brokers' PBT forecasts use a different accounting basis, the above numbers have been adjusted to be consistent with J Sainsbury plc's (Sainsbury's) accounting basis under IFRS, that is, they are pre one-off items.

The forecasts above have been provided to Sainsbury's by 13 registered investment analysts. Sainsbury's has not commented on any individual forecasts, nor does it intend to do so in future.

It should be noted that forecasts are by definition forward looking and are therefore subject to risks and uncertainties that may materially affect eventual results. Although Sainsbury's will endeavour to procure that the information is kept updated, Sainsbury's assumes no obligation to update or revise such information to reflect circumstances existing after the date hereof.

This information is updated on a regular basis.

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